Empirical Study on Shanghai Composite Index Forecast Based on ARIMA Model
Issue:
Volume 6, Issue 6, December 2017
Pages:
71-74
Received:
7 November 2017
Accepted:
29 November 2017
Published:
2 January 2018
Abstract: Time series analysis is an important research tool in the field of stock price prediction. It analyzes the historical data to find out its development rules and guide people's future decision-making. This paper selects the monthly average closing price of the Shanghai Composite Index from January 1991 to September 2017 as the research object. By using EViews 7.2 software, the stationary non-white noise sequence is obtained after the first-order difference of the non-stationary raw data, and then establishing the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to forecast the future trend of Shanghai Stock Index.
Abstract: Time series analysis is an important research tool in the field of stock price prediction. It analyzes the historical data to find out its development rules and guide people's future decision-making. This paper selects the monthly average closing price of the Shanghai Composite Index from January 1991 to September 2017 as the research object. By us...
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A Comparative Study of Economic Growth in the West African States
Issue:
Volume 6, Issue 6, December 2017
Pages:
75-79
Received:
18 December 2017
Accepted:
2 January 2018
Published:
19 January 2018
Abstract: A slowdown in the pace of activity has been observed in most ECOWAS countries. Nigeria which is the biggest economy in African managed to struggle out of recently entered recession this year 2017. In all these there is need to critically examine if there has been a significant economic growth in West Africa within the study period, especially in the face of several regional economic integration and treaties existence in West Africa. The Analysis of Variance technique was used to test to variations across the selected countries (column) and over the years (rows). The results of this study have been presented. The result shows that economic growth variables significantly vary across the selected countries but are significantly the same over the years. This implies that economic growth have over the study period been stagnant. There is statistically significant variation in GDP of selected countries but the GDP of the respective countries do not seem to change over the years. There is no significant variation in GDP growth over the years and across the countries. This paper therefore concludes that the West African States and the selected countries in particular have only witnessed a steady growth rate over the years and little variation in countries economic growth within the study period. Furthermore, due to economic integration that is fully functional in the area, economic growth may have been made stable by the existence of common economic policies.
Abstract: A slowdown in the pace of activity has been observed in most ECOWAS countries. Nigeria which is the biggest economy in African managed to struggle out of recently entered recession this year 2017. In all these there is need to critically examine if there has been a significant economic growth in West Africa within the study period, especially in th...
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